Sturm Graz vs Bodø / Glimt: prediction & betting odds 26 August 2025

The second leg of the 2025/26 Champions League qualification playoff between Sturm (Austria) and Bodø/Glimt (Norway) will take place on August 26 at the Wörthersee Stadium in Klagenfurt. The first match ended with a 5-0 victory for Bodø/Glimt. Bodø/Glimt vs. Sturm: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Sturm

For the Austrians, this Champions League campaign is coming to an end. Jurgen Seumel's side suffered an unexpected heavy defeat in Norway, losing 0-5. To advance to the main round of the European competition, they need to win by at least six goals. Interestingly, this was Sturm's second consecutive away defeat by such a margin in this tournament. The club has also suffered its seventh defeat in the last nine Champions League matches.

  • At least one team failed to score in regular time in 7 of the Austrians' last 8 matches in this tournament.
  • Sturm conceded first in 7 of their last 9 Champions League encounters.
  • No more than two goals were scored in 90 minutes in the club's last 4 home matches in this European competition.

Predicted lineup for Sturm (4-3-3)

Oliver Christensen – Max Johnston, Tim Erman, Dimitri Lavalee, Emir Karic – Jon Gorenc-Stankovic, Tomic Horvat, Tochi Chukwuani – Otar Kiteishvili, Leon Grgic, William Boving.

Bodø/Glimt

Kjetil Knutsen's team has already settled the question of the winner in this tie. In the return leg, even a heavy defeat, but not more than by four goals, will suit them. If a sensation occurs and the Norwegians lose by five goals, extra time will be played. Notably, Bodø/Glimt has won 6 of their last 7 matches in this tournament.

  • At least 3 goals were scored in regular time in 6 of the Scandinavians' last 8 Champions League matches.
  • Bodø/Glimt has not lost in 90 minutes in 10 of their last 12 matches in this European competition (9 wins and 1 draw).
  • The club has not won in regular time in 6 of their last 8 away games in the Champions League (1 draw and 5 losses).

Predicted lineup for Bodø/Glimt (4-3-3)

Nikita Haikin – Fredrik Sjøvold, Haitam Aleesami, Fredrik Bjørkan, Odin Bjørtuft – Patrick Berg, Ulrik Saltnes, Håkon Evjen – Isak Dybvik Määttä, Kasper Høgh, Jens Petter Hauge.

Referee

Szymon Marciniak (Poland)

Matches – 12 (International matches, 2024/25–2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 43;

Average yellow cards per match – 3.6;

Red cards shown – 1;

Average fouls per match – 23;

Penalties – 42%.

Bodø/Glimt vs. Sturm: Match Prediction

The Norwegians secured their long-awaited entry into the autumn stage of the Champions League in the first game. Previously, this club had never reached the main stage of this European competition. Given the attacking potential of the Scandinavians, they are likely to trouble the opponents' goalkeeper again in the second match, having scored in 4 of their last 5 away Champions League games, while also conceding in 7 of their last 8 away matches in this tournament.

Sturm played in the main stage of the Champions League last season but has been completely unprepared for European competitions this time, conceding five goals from the Norwegian champions. Interestingly, at least five goals have been scored in 3 of the Austrians' last 4 matches in this tournament. The hosts will try to score early to stage a comeback, so high scoring can be expected from the Austrians in the return match. However, Sturm is also likely to concede, as they have in 9 of their last 11 Champions League games.

My prediction: Total over 3 goals

Sturm Graz — Bodø / Glimt betting tips 26 August 2025

The first leg in Norway ended 5:0, all but sealing Bodø/Glimt’s spot in the Champions League group stage. Even two forced first-half substitutions didn’t prevent Knutsen’s side from running riot. The return in Austria should be more about formality, though Sturm may be tempted to play with attacking freedom.

Despite the heavy defeat, Sturm weren’t completely toothless in Norway. They generated 0.78 xG and produced eight shots on target, but their finishing let them down. Coach Jürgen Säumel made substitutions to try and change the game, but none had an impact. The trip to Bodø/Glimt was also their fourth straight game to go over 2.5 goals, underlining a trend of high-scoring contests.

For Bodø/Glimt, this tie is the last step before their historic group-stage appearance — and there is no room for complacency. In the first leg they produced 2.02 xG, with former AC Milan and Eintracht Frankfurt player Jens Petter Hauge contributing two assists. Since 15 August, Knutsen’s men have delivered two straight 5:0 wins. Stretching further back, they have eight wins from their last nine matches, scoring two or more goals in all but three of them.

Bookmakers see little between the sides in terms of who might win the second leg, with Sturm capable of grabbing a narrow victory at home. But the most reliable angle is goals: both teams are likely to produce chances, and the tie points to another open contest.

Betting prediction
Total Over 3
Cf
Odds
37/50
Bet now

Sturm Graz vs Bodø / Glimt Odds

Current season

Logo Sturm Graz Logo Bodø / Glimt
0 GF per game 5
5 GA per game 0
1 Corners per game 5
2 Yellow cards per game 1

Champions League: previous matches in the tournament

Sturm Graz
20.08.25
Bodø / Glimt
Sturm Graz
L
Bodø / Glimt
20.08.25
Bodø / Glimt
Sturm Graz
W

H2H: Sturm Graz — Bodø / Glimt

Champions League 2025-2026
20.08.25
Bodø / Glimt
Sturm Graz

Team lineups

The line-ups will be known a few hours before kick-off
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